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Something's happening here

Posted: Wednesday, January 09, 2008 5:00 PM by Daily Nightly Editor
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By Brian Williams, Anchor and managing editor

WRITTEN EN ROUTE FROM NEW HAMPSHIRE TO NEVADA — On Monday afternoon in Manchester, New Hampshire, I called my executive producer in New York and said that we needed to pencil in more time than we had allotted for Andrea Mitchell's report on the Clinton campaign. It needed to be enlarged to include a 48-second sound bite of Hillary Clinton at a roundtable, answering a question about the campaign. She was tired, and she was emotional. She did what any of us would have, and have done at times: She briefly lost control of her emotions. At that very moment, while he was miles away and unaware of it, Barack Obama started to lose control of what we had been told was a commanding lead in New Hampshire.

I am a son of New England — my father is from Framingham, Mass., my parents met in college in Maine, and over a lifetime of immersion I came to know the psyche well. The core of the older, native New Hampshire population (albeit in a state that is rapidly changing) is still made up of the sons and daughters of the original  Puritans. They take civic responsibility seriously, they take care of those who need it and they take pride in process. In modern political terms, they generally don't like negativity, they reward the downtrodden, they earnestly deliberate over their choice of candidate and they venerate the sturdy among us. In short, they are good people to have in your corner. Hillary Clinton was bloodied in New Hampshire. The people of New Hampshire saw it and didn't like it. They saw assumptions forming and didn't like them.  Some felt they were being told what to think: the race was decided, Hillary was desperate and inauthentic. Worst of all — and this was made very clear to me by more than one person — when some in the media quietly doubted that Hillary Clinton's emotions at that roundtable were real (there was quiet snickering about an "acting job" born of an urgent need to seem normal) it was proof to them that cynicism had taken hold of the politics/media realm, and they simply refused to believe that.

Had Bill Clinton not famously coined the title "The Comeback Kid" for himself, his wife would have rightfully claimed it for herself in New Hampshire. That the same state rewarded these two imperfect politicians, in the same way, years apart, is remarkable.

Also remarkable was the apparent transformation of the candidate. The senator who failed to gain the full support of women voters in Iowa was saved by them in New Hampshire. The woman who gave a victory speech after losing in Iowa admitted in her New Hampshire victory speech that what she had really lost was her own voice.

There will be numerous deconstructions over the days to come. Theories about how African-American candidates for office have confounded pollsters (see: Bradley, Wilder, Gant, Jackson) will receive a thorough airing, and deservedly so.  We in the media will beat ourselves (and deservedly so) for reaching conclusions before the voters have spoken. A further prediction?  Give us a few weeks — we will promptly forget the lessons of this debacle in polling, predictions and primary politics. We will all live to screw up another day, though our performance in New Hampshire will be hard to beat.

It should be noted that virtually everyone got it wrong. The only point of agreement among all the competing campaigns in New Hampshire was that Barack Obama was headed for a double-digit victory, as they told anyone who would listen.  I have an e-mail from a Clinton fundraiser who denounced Hillary as a lost cause and threw his support to Obama while the polls were still open on Tuesday. A veteran Clinton loyalist spoke of the campaign in New Hampshire in the past tense on the morning of the election, saying the senator from New York had run smack into "an ideal... a movement," called Barack Obama. There was no defeating an ideal, said this completely defeated politico. Not this year, not in New Hampshire.

In his beautiful, soaring concession speech, Obama mentioned the town of Lebanon for a reason. I was with him in Lebanon the day before — and what we saw there was a defining moment in the campaign. It surprised him, his staff members, the Secret Service on board the campaign bus, even the bus driver. We turned the corner toward the event and saw hundreds of people lined up through the streets of the town just to see him, to feel his aura and to later say that they'd done it — they'd been there.  There were hundreds more than the venue could hold, and they stood there anyway, and kept coming. Obama, overwhelmed by the overflow crowd, insisted on an outdoor speech before his indoor speech. This much is important, and should be said: Any journalist covering any candidate that day, in that town, would have come away as I did after seeing those people,  saying something akin to the old song lyric, "Something's happening here." A colleague of mine contends Obama got caught up in the history he was making. I don't think that's quite fair. The candidate didn't change his message as much as Iowa changed the way we heard it.

That day, I saw people embrace Obama the way people embrace loved ones returning from foreign battlefields. I saw people with small children, brought along simply so their parents could years later tell them, to the point of predictable annoyance, "You were there."  Losing in New Hampshire may well make Obama a better candidate. While it's the kind of thing that is always said at times like these by those of us whose names have never appeared on a ballot, I think it might just be true in this case.

On the eve of the primary, I attended the last big rally of the Clinton New Hampshire campaign. While large and boisterous enough to distract attention from the decidedly inelegant venue (the indoor tennis courts at the Executive Health and Fitness Center in the shadow of the Manchester airport control tower) it was packed and it was emotional. Our producer spotted tears in Chelsea's eyes. Campaign workers were trying to seem upbeat. A British journalist called the press credential hanging around his neck "a ticket to the last supper." Senator Clinton gave her stump speech, only infused with more emotion: shades of anger, melancholy, frustration and wistfulness.  She made a forceful and direct appeal for support, at one point aimed specifically at the women in the audience.  Her husband nodded and clapped supportively behind her and shook every hand in the rope line afterwards. I stood several feet away, watching the familiar ballet of incoming hands and thinking of the two years I spent covering his presidency, and how much has changed since then. He's still in the family retail business, where the basic transaction remains the same.

New Hampshire voters, masters of retail politics and educated consumers all, saw what their Iowa counterparts had done days earlier, and chose not to follow the same path. They instead gave their approval to a former POW, and a former first lady. Poles apart in many ways, now joined together in the history of this strange process.

As politicians, John McCain and Hillary Clinton have a lot of mutual respect for each other. They have traveled to Iraq together during a dangerous time in the conflict, and they lived to tell about it. Now they can say the same thing about New Hampshire.

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Comments

Kudos for admitting that all of the press got it wrong in NH.  Watching various stations prior to Senator Clinton's victory I was beginning to wonder why even continue having an election process as the collective media had already elected/appointed/installed Obama as the next President.  Good for the people of NH for voting their hearts and minds and not just getting swept away in the hullabaloo created by the media swarm.

I realize it can be extremely difficult to report campaign/election related news with a total sense of neutrality.  That said, viewers of all news broadcasts want, need and should demand a fair representation of the process and ALL of the candidates.  

November's election day is a long way off, can we wait till the polls close at least on the east before declaring a victor?
Delegates won so far:
John Edwards 18
Hillary Clinton 24
Barak Obama 25

Why is John Edwards ignored in this definitely 3 person race?
Brian, I always felt you to be objective. Thanks for excellent, fair coverage last night. Unlike Matthews and his venon for Hillary, you are refreshing indeed. Hillary's win also shut the mouth of Gregory and Russert. Maybe they will stop Hillary bashing, become human, and begin vetting Obama. He is "no bee" and all mouth. Enough of his rhetoric. We do not want to wake up with him as the nominee and ask, "What did we do?" "How did this happen?" Start vetting this guy, for people are tired of the media hands off approach.
Will all the pundits shut up now? I demand all of you to resign. Watch and learn like the rest of us. Don’t you guys have to understand journalism is not what you think; it is reporting what you see without bias. Women are silent majority in this campaign. We do not bark like some of you on TV. We vote. We see strength in Hillary, we see intelligence in Hillary and we see poise in Hillary. I do not think guys will understand this. We are here to win. This is a war now without guns. Remember we vote
It just goes to show that negative campaigning still works.  Kudos to you Mrs. Clinton!
It is refreshing to have a member of the media finally admitting that the media should report the news, i.e. that which has happened, rather than report predictions of what will happen knowing that predictions will influence the electorate.  Maybe it comes from having too many talking heads with too much airtime, all competing for too much limelight. Maybe the sports networks will see the light as well. Good blog
Mrs Clinton's dramatic win was indeed a loss for the media.   How often have I listened to Chris Matthews find ways to belittle the efforts of Hillary just as he had done with her husband years ago.  In a perfect world there would be no warts,  but this is not a perfect world, and one must be able to detect the difference between minor warts and major ones.   The desire of the press seems to be to create conflict even when there is none,  and I think they should report the news and let the voters decide who they feel would best lead the country.   Several pundits even wrongly babbled about Mrs. Clinton not having here family with her at the victory speech.   Clearly they were missing what I had seen,  unless they wanted Bill and Chelsea to be holding her hand while she gave her very upbeat speech.
As a loyal NBC watcher, and reader of The Daily Nightly, I appreciate the honesty in this blog...that there is cynicism within the media that creeps intocovering the campaigns...and that all the media got out in front of the voters and declared Obama the victor and Clinton dead.   Let's hope that the lesson is not just learned but REMEMBERED...as Brokaw said, maybe now the media will allow the voters the opportunity to do just that...VOTE...and WAIT until the votes are in and then REPORT the actual results...rather than continually trying to predict behavior that essentially is private.  I'm an optimist, so I'm hopeful that NBC will lead the way and be somewhat restrained with the opinions, and strong on reporting results.  
Right on, Brian!  Nobody seemed to hit the mark.  Now - how about making up for it by admitting McCain won New Hampshire because the people do not understand Mormonism & would never vote for one, and would neither choose a gun-toting Baptist preacher who's against same-sex marriage & abortion.
Right on, Brian!  Nobody seemed to hit the mark.  Now - how about making up for it by admitting McCain won New Hampshire because the people do not understand Mormonism & would never vote for one, and would neither choose a gun-toting Baptist preacher who's against same-sex marriage & abortion.
I am so happy that you, whom I admire as a premier newsman, came to the party that we have just begun. How resentful I was yesterday morning that the media was telling me what to think and do! The idea that the media was, in effect, disenfranchising 99% of the American voters was making me sick. Perhaps now you all will stand back and report what is happening without so much bias. RGS Albuquerque, NM
I have been very confused by the reporting of Hillary's demise right after Iowa. It reminded me when famous boxers are knocked down and the sportscaster reminisces about their illustrious career  that now it supposedly is ending. Suddenly, the boxers come back and knock out their opponents. The same sportscasters come back with "they are still true and great champions."
The sad part is that media writers and commentators don't realize that their opinions influence millions of people and when they get it wrong where does a candidate and stateswoman like Senator Clinton go to get her reputation back besides the voters.
It's time that the professional media step back a little bit and let the voters of Nevada, South Carolina etc. see for themselves without the influence of negative or suspicious reporting especially this election year. the voters are excited let them choose.
very well said.
Now I know why I love Brian so much. What a beautiful written, honest essay. You touched my heart and opened my eyes. I am grateful that someone seems to honestly see what some know to be true: that the media needs to report facts and not make suppositions! Thank you.
What New Hampshire clearly demonstrates is that election polls mean absolutely nothing. For a candidate like Obama to go from double-digit deficits to dounble-digit victories in polls that flip-flopped during the last few weeks is ludicruous. I doubt even his steadfast supporters gave any faith to these assinine polls.
The fact is that Barack is the candidate of real change, and Hillary is just Billary in disguise, and a return to sexual trysts in the White House, ignorance of foreign policy (meaning ignorance of growing Islamofascism threats), and a daily dose of unreality for the electorate. Get real - Go Obama!
I am a registered democrat from NH.  I was so proud of my state yesterday.  We chose to ignore the poles, to look the other way and vote for who we beleived in.  Many times, voters get on the band wagon of who is winning in the poles, not in NH.  We take politics too seriously.  My vote was  still voted for Richardson.  
Brian, the media got it right. If you truly care about what's happening in this country you'd do a story on the discrepancies between machine counted ballots and hand counted ballots. The facts are right in front of the media's face and no one wants to admit it. The people need help!
What it is ain't exactly clear.

Maybe the press will just report instead of predict?

Nah...
Brian:

You're otherwise a great newsman but the bias that you present towards Obama is so unprofessional.  Its fine if you want to vote for him, but you need to leave your personal feelings about how he inspires you and all that mess out of the newscast and out of your work.  Its just got no place there.

Thanks!
Drew
Williams, how much were you paid to pen this unctuously fawning blurb?  Sickening, whoring "journalism."
Hillary is going to get the democratic nomination
Thanks for the context Brian. Very helpful. I'd imagine before the Daily Nightly existed, there would not have been a good forum to share this take on the media's view of the primary.
Shame on the media....again! Have you learned nothing from your disgraceful, "egg on your face" errors of 2000? Just once, on behalf of the voting public, I ask that you let us decide the candidate without the "benefit" of your repeated polling and projections.
Thank-you for an interesting and informative perspective on the campaign.  The media is fairly low on credibility these days (at least in my view).  You are still on my very short list of media people I respect.  

As I watched the returns last night I was genuinely delighted that everybody was wrong...it made me have a little faith in people again.  We still do have control over the election, no matter what the media is telling us.  
Brian;

Do you agree that the media "spins" far too much in favor of one candidate or another rather than doing its job of reporting?
My thoughts now I know who the Executive Producer is and I've read the comments.

Your not responsible for others only yourself. Your interview with Senator Obama let us see the man which most people don't know. We have and will hear more about his position in this run for the President. In a short time we got to see a man as just a man.
As for Hillary and her breakdown.  With the attacks coming from all side and even evil attacks what person wouldn't crack. When most of us are hit so many times it's only human. We watch  men who are strong and brave break down but we said we admire their humanity. When I watched her I thought of the movie it's a wonderful life. As the actor cried but saw his friends support him. Like Hillary saw she has a great deal of support and that's what's needed when your at a low point.  Yes I'm afraid some comments are right about some NBC reporters being out of line. But they have done this for a long time, it's just people now recognize the lack of professionalism and see the bias.

Brian choose your words carefully and keep being honest.  You have shown to be one of the best of our time, as some look back at others. Your station will make changes as those who continue to spin/twist/blame your not in control of that. I've watch Charlie Gibson change which was a shock as he was always the straight man but people do change. Now even he has taken to being bias.  

We will see change Brian in alot of areas of our country as we work hard to move back to the foundation on which our country was built.  Your fair and honest, just keep that quality it's always a proven winner.
Yes, I too thought the media thought the vote between Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Obama was over before it ever started, and was very hasty in predicting the winner.  The last laugh is on the media.
Thank you for an honest comment about the media.  I was truly disappointed in Matthews and Olbermann who "pretended" to know the results before the results were made known.  Comments like "the end of the Clinton dynasty" and etc.  They were wrong.  They should be ashamed.  Thank you for an honest evaluation of your colleagues.
 Beautifully written.  Though I am a strong Obama supporter, and 25 years old, I am a larger supporter of the democratic process and that process would have been completely negated had Barack come away with a double-digit win last night.  I am still Fired Up and ready for a showdown with the establishment.
 By the way, does anyone find it strange that if Hillary wins the nomination and goes on to win the presidency, we will have over 20 consecutive years of either a Bush or a Clinton running our country?  Hmm...doesn't sound like democracy to me.
 
Hillary Clinton needs to just to come out of the closet already.  Ask her about her "girlfriend" in NY.
I watched the democratic debate on Saturday night and decided to vote for Hillary Clinton. The male candidates and the press ganged up on her and she fought back. I'm glad that the people of NH decided that it was too soon to annoint Barack Obama as the democratic nominee. He is an inspirational speaker...but he hasn't been tested. When the chips are down...will he fight back.
A well written essay and a reminder that "change" is needed in more places than just Washington. The great people of New England think longer before acting than in some other parts of this country.  How can you possibly conclude that the election is over after just two primaries.  

Shame on you all.  You should return to the days of Walter and Chet and just report the  news.  
thank you Brian for being sensible in this time of idiocy by so many who forget to put their mind in gear before they put their mouth in motion
To make the statement that people would embrace any political candidate as they would "embrace loved ones returning from foreign battlefields" is preposterous.
i strongly believe that the two guys who held up signs at a hillary even saying 'iron my shirt' were planted by her campaign.  the media should investigate.  if these guys are found to have been hillary supporters all along then bill and hillary have played all of us as fools.  hillary will be the queen of out-sourcing!  she outsourced her duties to monica lewinsky.
The media is guilty of creating marketable soundbites, just as the public is guilty of relying on them. The Iowa caucus was one event, hardly the death knell for *any* campaign. Let the process happen without slicing it up into little boxes made of ticky-tacky (to quote a slightly older song).
I think the demographics of the voters in New Hampshire favored Hillary Clinton. I also think she received some sympathy votes after her brief meltdown. As a lifelong Democrat from the North who has lived in the South for 25 years I can say with assurance that Hillary cannot win the election! The voters in the Southern and Western states both men and women will reject her in November especially if the Republican nominee is John McCain.  A loss in Iowa, a close call in New Hampshire, these are places where she should have scored big.  Outside a few states in the NE the women will not vote for her.
Hillary Clinton's loss in Iowa was unexpected, but even more surprising was how quick the media was to discount the relevancy of her campaign. They all but declared her candidacy dead after just a single loss, with headlines like "Goodbye Hillary" and "What the Heck Happened with Hillary?" John Edwards played up to this by trying to cast the democratic race as one with just two frontrunners. And Obama delivered a speech that sounded as though he had just won his party's nomination. I'm a registered Republican, but even I agree that the media scrutiny of Clinton was ridiculous. The whole effort to discredit Clinton seemed calculated and even personal at times. I'm glad she won last night. Her victory comes as a slap in the face to her opponents and is a lesson well learned about jumping to conclusions.
This is a very insightful article. I too suspect this will make Barack a better candidate. Now his team will press to the end in every state.

His supporters will be more motivated than ever before to actually come out and make themselves heard as they did in Ia., and apparently didn't do in N.H.


Not to be taken lightly is the fact that women voters didn't want to see a serious female candidate for the presidency written off so early.


The sentiment there is perfectly understandable. I think women have felt - correctly - as though they have not been heard for a long time in this country.

The same is true for minorities as well, and for the traditional working class.


All have a legitimate feeling that they've been left out in many ways, that their voices don't count.

That's why ultimately, i believe Barack will win. 28 years with either a Bush or a Clinton as either VP or President , with so many people voiceless is simply long enough.

Brian,

How true!The media and the polls screwed up.The media screwed up again by believing the polls and reporting them as IF they were correct. Some people change their votes just because the media reports a winner before the polls EVEN OPENED! We can't stand to hear you guys act as if it is a runaway before the voting begins.





Thank you, Brian, for a well-written and heart-touching commentary. My hat is off to the citizens of New Hampshire, who declared that this race is really just beginning. Thank you, New Hampshire voters, for setting the tenor of things to come by reminding all the candidates of their own humanity. Let this primary mark the spot of meaningful dialogue, statesmanship conduct, and well-considered solutions to the challenges this country faces. Change, without a plan, will get us what we already have.
The one story that the media have not given enough coverage of is the simplest arithmetic:  The delegate count.

In this representative democracy forum, it doesn't matter what percentages were racked up in an individual state; it doesn't matter the number of persons, nor of the demographics or special interests.  What matters is how many delegates accumulate to each candidate.

I hope NBC and MSNBC will get down to the basics of 'gathering those chits.'  Only by understanding the delegate count will Americans understand the political conventions spectacles to follow the primaries.  BTW:  John Edwards is still a candidate.
I would be fine with either of them, and in fact am actively hoping for either a Clinton/Obama or Obama/Clinton ticket. But the media needs to take the rose-colored glasses off its coverage of Obama. Seriously. It's the media's fawning that does his candidacy a disservice ... and makes the critiques of Clinton seem even more 'unfair' by comparison. He has no record to speak of, and as thrilling a speaker as he is - he needs to be examined much more critically before the electorate makes a final choice.

Egg on the media's face? You bet. They deserved it. Please learn a lesson from this debacle and start doing your actual jobs.
What a reward for Hillary that the people of New Hampshire saw through the negative, bloody, out right and dirty way the media treated her.  Meathead Chris Matthews dogged has dogged her out for the last few weeks. I remember saying to myself, "Why are they hurting her and being so mean to her?"  She has been vindicated.  Thanks, Brian for the honest piece that you have written.
I appreciate the integrity that you bring to the news.  Also, your humor at the whims of news and the press.  We the public are very fickle indeed.  Maybe we should go back to reading tea leafs.  I am very happy with the results in New Hampshire just for the sheer spice its added to the coverage.  
Perhaps the real story here is why were the media and the polls so wrong? You make the case for the media's premature conclusion about Obama based on the "fans" that showed up for him at a campaign stop. Fans don't equal votes and so far in this election season, the media has been caught up in fiction instead of  reality. I hope this is wake up call to all the pundits. Don't count out any group of voters. We may like to visit the excitement of celebrity, but it doesn't mean we want to live with it for four or more years. Although some may perceive elections as popularity contests in this country, I believe that most of us, when it truly matters, vote with our heads, not our hearts.
I suppose that many of us saw and vaguely understood the extreme ironies of yesterday's New Hampshire primaries, but it is helpful to have Brian Williams set them down in all of their starkness.  Some of what happened was probably just a case of severe foot-in-mouth disease among the media; but some of it surely reflected some cosmic metaphysical, ultimately unknowable, principles of American politics.
Very well said.  I am a 48 year old African American woman and has never been so undecided about two candidates in my life. I listen to the media and got very angry with them and decided they were attacking her as a woman and I was most definitely going to vote for her when my time came.  I am from the state of Maryland.
When i step back and look at what just happened in NH maybe the best thing for America is a ticket that has both Hilary and Obama on it. Fervent supporters of each may pale at the idea and i can't say who is the Pres. and who is the VP - the people will say that, but what better synergy of vision, get it done and cross all the divides we cling to is there!?


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